Libra May Fail, But Cryptocurrencies Will Emerge as Winners

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Since the Libra Association released its project whitepaper, Facebook's ambitious "cryptocurrency" initiative has captured global attention. Despite Libra not yet being launched, it faces unprecedented regulatory scrutiny both in the U.S. and internationally. David Marcus, head of Facebook's blockchain division, acknowledged: "This will likely be the broadest and most cautious pre-launch oversight by regulators and central banks in fintech history."

Facebook Stands Alone

Facebook's latest quarterly report warns investors that Libra has encountered fierce resistance from U.S. and international regulators, casting doubt on its timely—or even eventual—launch. Initially slated for 2020, Libra’s future now appears uncertain amid mounting pressure.

Criticism from U.S. President Trump, skepticism from Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, and congressional hearings marked by intense scrutiny have stalled progress. Internationally, officials from France, Germany, India, and others have expressed concerns about Libra’s potential risks, further complicating its rollout.

Internal Challenges Compound Pressure

Even Libra’s founding partners hesitate. Some executives admit they joined via non-binding agreements, with no obligation to adopt or promote the token. Reports indicate that none of the 27 partners have paid the purported $10 million membership fee, leaving Facebook potentially isolated in its mission.


Why Is Facebook Pushing for Cryptocurrency?

For Facebook, its 2 billion users represent both an asset and a vulnerability. Overreliance on ad revenue—coupled with data privacy scandals—has forced the company to diversify. Cryptocurrency emerged as its answer.

Unlike 90% of speculative "junk coins," Libra aims to build a sustainable digital economy ecosystem. Blockchain expert Zhao Gang explains:

"Digital economies require digital financial infrastructure, with cryptocurrency at its core. Traditional institutions lag, while tech giants like Facebook seize the opportunity to lead this transformation."

Marcus emphasized Libra’s potential to cement U.S. leadership in fintech, warning: "If we don’t act, others with differing values will dominate." While Libra is headquartered in Geneva, its American roots and dollar-pegged reserves align its success with U.S. interests—and oversight.


Facebook’s Pledge: No Libra Without Regulatory Approval

Navigating trust with regulators remains the foremost hurdle. Tencent’s Pony Ma noted: "The technology is ready—it’s about regulatory permission."

Marcus’s testimony struck a conciliatory tone: "We won’t launch Libra until regulators are satisfied." Whether approved or not, Facebook’s bold move has ignited global discussions, accelerating governmental engagement with digital currencies.


Key Developments

  1. China’s Central Bank Accelerates Digital Currency (DC/EP) Research

    • August 2: The PBoC prioritized developing a sovereign digital currency, vowing to monitor global crypto trends and strengthen fintech risk controls.
  2. Walmart Files Patent for Libra-Like Stablecoin

    • The retail giant proposed a USD-backed cryptocurrency to serve unbanked populations, offering lower fees and blockchain-tracked savings.

👉 Explore how cryptocurrencies are reshaping finance


FAQ Section

Q: Will Libra replace traditional currencies?
A: Unlikely. Sovereign states will retain control over monetary systems, though private cryptocurrencies may complement them.

Q: Why are regulators wary of Libra?
A: Concerns include monetary sovereignty risks, financial stability, and potential misuse (e.g., money laundering).

Q: How does Walmart’s coin differ from Libra?
A: Both target financial inclusion, but Walmart’s model emphasizes retail integration and cost savings for users.

👉 Discover the future of digital payments


This analysis underscores that while Libra’s fate hangs in the balance, its legacy lies in catalyzing mainstream cryptocurrency adoption and regulatory dialogue.