Institutional Analysts: Options Traders Anticipate Short-Term Bitcoin Price Correction

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BlockBeats News, May 17, 2024 — According to CF Benchmarks' analysis of Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Bitcoin futures and options, investors are preparing to pay a premium for short-term downside protection despite yesterday's weak U.S. CPI inflation report. Options traders expect Bitcoin's price to undergo a short-term adjustment.

CF Benchmark analysts noted that although Bitcoin briefly surpassed the $66,000 mark yesterday, "the implied volatility of out-of-the-money put options remains higher compared to call options." Additionally, the volatility curve between long-term puts and calls appears "relatively flat," with a slight skew toward call options, indicating greater investor optimism about Bitcoin's long-term prospects.

Key Market Insights

Short-Term Bearish Signals

Long-Term Bullish Indicators

Why This Matters for Traders

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Bitcoin Market FAQ

Q: Should I sell my Bitcoin holdings due to this correction prediction?
A: Not necessarily. Short-term corrections are normal in crypto markets. Consider your investment horizon and risk tolerance before making decisions.

Q: How reliable are options market signals for price predictions?
A: While not infallible, options data reflects sophisticated traders' expectations and often precedes price movements. Combine this with other technical/fundamental indicators.

Q: What's causing the divergence between short-term caution and long-term optimism?
A: Macroeconomic uncertainties (like inflation) may drive short-term hedging, while institutional adoption and halving effects support long-term bullishness.

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